Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.170638 0.183190 0.196265 0.210918 0.226899 0.243822 0.263123
2025-04-27 0.152178 0.171014 0.191737 0.216304 0.244736 0.276726 0.315609
2025-05-04 0.138127 0.159922 0.184773 0.215364 0.252219 0.295456 0.350410
2025-05-11 0.127160 0.150738 0.178401 0.213499 0.257189 0.310242 0.380233
2025-05-18 0.118067 0.142761 0.172437 0.211072 0.260539 0.322429 0.406801
2025-05-25 0.114441 0.140998 0.173652 0.217227 0.274559 0.348417 0.452413
2025-06-01 0.107455 0.134451 0.168280 0.214358 0.276383 0.358287 0.476842
2025-06-08 0.101650 0.128996 0.163862 0.212262 0.278810 0.368743 0.502362
2025-06-15 0.095071 0.122126 0.157143 0.206562 0.275785 0.371261 0.516447
2025-06-22 0.090465 0.117600 0.153239 0.204363 0.277304 0.379975 0.539782
2025-06-29 0.088018 0.115821 0.152893 0.206970 0.285612 0.398684 0.579049
2025-07-06 0.083945 0.111603 0.148954 0.204224 0.285924 0.405561 0.600499
2025-07-13 0.080621 0.108365 0.146349 0.203422 0.289287 0.417547 0.631456
2025-07-20 0.079453 0.108105 0.147931 0.208811 0.302243 0.444983 0.689461
2025-07-27 0.076472 0.105103 0.145404 0.207899 0.305420 0.457266 0.723288
2025-08-03 0.073460 0.101911 0.142432 0.206111 0.307047 0.467052 0.753459
2025-08-10 0.070511 0.098679 0.139238 0.203785 0.307617 0.475042 0.780957
2025-08-17 0.069985 0.098984 0.141301 0.209686 0.321702 0.506157 0.851907
2025-08-24 0.067233 0.095843 0.138008 0.206935 0.321388 0.512873 0.878855
2025-08-31 0.064840 0.093147 0.135275 0.204926 0.322151 0.521400 0.909714
2025-09-07 0.061743 0.089264 0.130553 0.199460 0.316741 0.518735 0.918894
2025-09-14 0.059623 0.086807 0.127958 0.197351 0.316948 0.525998 0.947843
2025-09-21 0.058686 0.086147 0.128150 0.199851 0.325257 0.548327 1.008444